NIFTY23,4060.33%
SENSEX74,3460.41%
BANKNIFTY54,1860.88%
NIFTY IT29,3845.57%
PHARMA24,0870.33%
AUTO26,0930.05%
FMCG48,1241.01%
METAL13,5350.17%
REALTY762.601.39%
ENERGY40,1970.02%
NIFTY23,4060.33%
SENSEX74,3460.41%
BANKNIFTY54,1860.88%
NIFTY IT29,3845.57%
PHARMA24,0870.33%
AUTO26,0930.05%
FMCG48,1241.01%
METAL13,5350.17%
REALTY762.601.39%
ENERGY40,1970.02%

Precious Metals Retreat Amid Higher US Producer Price Index and Crude Oil Prices

Key Figures:

  • $4,837: lowest level of COMEX gold futures contract on 18 March
  • 7.4%: drop in the yellow metal in March so far
  • 12%: year-to-date returns for gold
  • $76.63: day's low of May COMEX silver contract
  • 17.7%: drop in silver in the current month so far
  • 8.9%: year-to-date returns for silver
  • 0.7%: rise in February US Producer Price Index (PPI)
  • $109: Brent crude oil price after a 9% surge
  • ₹1,51,550: day's low of April gold futures contract on MCX
  • ₹2,42,803: day's low of May silver futures contract on MCX

Market Analysis

Read also: Treasury Yields Experience Largest Increase in Two Weeks Following Release of Labor Market Data

The US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.7% in February, exceeding expectations and putting pressure on precious metals. The COMEX gold futures contract fell $171 to reach $4,837 per troy ounce, breaking below the key $5,000 mark. The May silver contract on COMEX also crashed, falling $4.30 per troy ounce to reach a day's low of $76.63.

The higher-than-expected PPI comes ahead of the Federal Reserve policy outcome, which is expected to leave rates unchanged for a second time. A rising US dollar is making dollar-priced commodities more expensive for other currency holders, further pressuring precious metals.

In the domestic market, the April gold futures contract on MCX dropped by ₹4,435 per 10 grams to the day's low of ₹1,51,550, marking the lowest level since 17 February. The May silver futures contract also eased by ₹10,310 per kilogram to ₹2,42,803, the white metal's last seen level on 20 February.

Market Outlook

Read also: US-Iran Tensions Spark Uptick in Oil Prices Amid Global Market Decline

The ongoing US-Iran conflict has led to a sharp rise in energy prices, making policymakers' jobs more difficult. Investors are assessing that higher crude oil, gas, and fertiliser prices could prompt the central bank to hold interest rates until late 2026.

Investor Takeaway

Investors should be cautious of potential market volatility due to rising inflation data.

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