Motilal Oswal Analyst Recommends Short-Term Buys in JSW Energy, Chambal Fertilisers.
Market Volatility Persists Amid Iran Conflict Uncertainty
The domestic benchmark indices, Nifty 50 and Sensex, traded largely flat in early deals on Wednesday as investors remained cautious amid uncertainty surrounding the fragile ceasefire between the United States and Iran and the possibility of renewed tensions in the Middle East.
At around 11:50 IST, the Nifty 50 was up 0.13% at 23,946.85, while the Sensex gained 0.10% to 76,081.78. Since the onset of the Iran conflict in late February, the two indices have declined about 5.1% and 6.6%, respectively.
Investor sentiment remained subdued after Iran accused the US of violating a ceasefire by carrying out strikes near the strategically important Strait of Hormuz, raising concerns that efforts to end the three-month-long conflict could face fresh hurdles. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said a negotiated agreement could still take "a few days" to materialize.
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Meanwhile, Brent crude oil hovered around $98 per barrel, keeping energy market concerns alive. Despite the cautious mood in frontline indices, broader markets continued to outperform, with the Nifty small-cap and mid-cap segments gaining about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively.
| Market Segment | Previous Quarter | Current Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Nifty Small Cap | -8.2% | -0.2% |
| Nifty Mid Cap | -9.1% | 0.4% |
Market Review and Outlook Ruchit Jain, Head - Equity Technical Research, Wealth Management, Motilal Oswal Financial Services, expects markets to trade with a cautiously positive bias despite intermittent volatility driven by geopolitical developments. Sentiment has improved after Brent crude prices cooled off from recent highs, easing concerns around inflation and supply disruptions. Global markets have also remained relatively stable, supporting risk appetite.
Domestically, broader market strength remains encouraging. The Nifty Midcap index is trading near all-time highs, indicating sustained buying interest beyond frontline benchmark stocks, while the Smallcap index has also resumed its positive trend after taking support near its key moving averages. This reflects healthy, stock-specific market participation.
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Technically, the recent decline in the Nifty 50 appears corrective in nature. Immediate support is placed near the 23,800–23,700 zone, followed by stronger support around 23,500. On the upside, the 24,100–24,250 range is likely to act as an immediate resistance zone. As long as key support levels remain intact, traders may continue to adopt a buy-on-dips strategy.
Stock Recommendations
Ruchit Jain recommends the following stocks for short-term trading:
| Stock | Buy Range | Target Price | Stop Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| JSW Energy Ltd | Rs. 590-580 | Rs. 640 | below Rs. 560 |
| Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals Ltd | Rs. 475-470 | Rs. 512 | below Rs. 455 |
Investor Takeaway
Investors should consider short-term buys in JSW Energy and Chambal Fertilisers.
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