
Market Outlook Ahead of March 19: Key Indicators and Fed Rate Dynamics Amid Rising Inflation and Oil Prices
Market Update
Nifty 50
- The Nifty 50 rose 0.83% on March 18, marking its third consecutive day in positive territory.
- The index gained 3.5% from its recent low, supported by improving momentum and a falling VIX.
- Despite the recovery, lower tops and lower bottoms persist, with momentum indicators signaling caution.
- Key resistance levels: 23,846, 23,903, and 23,997 based on pivot points.
- Key support levels: 23,660, 23,602, and 23,509 based on pivot points.
Technical Analysis
Read also: Treasury Yields Experience Largest Increase in Two Weeks Following Release of Labor Market Data
- The Nifty 50 formed a bullish candle with a minor upper shadow, indicating a positive bias.
- The index closed above the previous high and held above the golden ratio (61.8% Fibonacci retracement level) for the second straight session.
- Momentum indicators, including the RSI (37.04) and MACD, still signal caution.
- The index trades below all key moving averages, which continue to slope downward.
Bank Nifty
- The Bank Nifty rose 0.82% and formed a bullish candle with minor upper and lower shadows on the daily charts.
- The index remained above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level for another session, but trading volumes have been declining.
- Key moving averages continue to slope downward, with the 20-day EMA on the verge of falling below the 200-day EMA.
Options Data
Read also: US-Iran Tensions Spark Uptick in Oil Prices Amid Global Market Decline
- Nifty Call Options:
- Maximum Call open interest: 24,500 strike (43.88 lakh contracts).
- Maximum Call writing: 23,800 strike (17.69 lakh contracts).
- Nifty Put Options:
- Maximum Put open interest: 23,000 strike (54.98 lakh contracts).
- Maximum Put writing: 23,700 strike (30.45 lakh contracts).
- Bank Nifty Call Options:
- Maximum Call open interest: 56,000 strike (7.7 lakh contracts).
- Maximum Call writing: 55,500 strike (75,960 contracts).
Investor Takeaway
Monitor the Nifty 50's movement around the 23,800 resistance level for potential trading opportunities.
More in Market

Treasury Yields Experience Largest Increase in Two Weeks Following Release of Labor Market Data

US-Iran Tensions Spark Uptick in Oil Prices Amid Global Market Decline

Indian Stocks to Watch: BHEL, Agarwal Industrial, JBM Auto, Rajesh Exports, Indian Energy Exchange, Lenskart Solutions in Market Focus on June 4.
