
ICICI Securities Maintains Buy Rating for Aavas Financiers, Sets Price Target at Rs 1725
Aavas Financiers Sees Robust Turnaround in Q4FY26, Enters FY27 on a Clean Slate
Aavas Financiers (Aavas) marked a pivotal year in FY26, characterized by significant leadership transitions. CVC Capital Partners entered as a promoter, and Mr. Manu Singh took over as MD & CEO, while Mr. Ripudaman Bandral was appointed as CBO. Initially, internal restructuring and industry headwinds impacted the company's performance in the first nine months of FY26. However, Q4FY26 witnessed a robust turnaround, with record quarterly disbursements of INR 23.5 billion, a 36% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) increase. This turnaround was further reflected in a greater than 40 basis points (bps) QoQ net interest margin (NIM) expansion and a sharp 63bps QoQ improvement in 1+ Days Past Due (DPD), which moderated to 3.17%.
Key Performance Indicators in Q4FY26
| Quarter | Disbursements (INR billion) | NIM (bps) | 1+ DPD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3FY26 | 17.2 | 3.54 | |
| Q4FY26 | 23.5 | 40bps (QoQ) | 3.17 |
Read also: Treasury Yields Experience Largest Increase in Two Weeks Following Release of Labor Market Data
With the transitory challenges largely behind, Aavas enters FY27 with a clean slate, positioning itself to achieve its medium-term targets of 20%+ asset under management (AUM) growth and mid-teen return on equity (RoE). The company's strong performance in Q4FY26 underscores its ability to navigate industry headwinds and capitalize on emerging opportunities.
Maintaining a BUY recommendation with an unchanged target price of INR 1,725, ICICI Securities values the stock at 2.3 times its estimated market value for March 2027.
Investor Takeaway
Maintain BUY with an unchanged TP of INR 1,725, valuing the stock at 2.3x Mar'27E.
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